Penn St
W-L: (11- 2) PR = 97.7411Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 A We Virginia B12 ( 6- 6, 93.4) 34-12 907 H Bowl. Green MA ( 7- 5, 90.0) 34-27 921 H Kent State MA ( 0-12, 81.6) 56- 0 928 H Illinois B10 ( 9- 3, 96.0) 21- 7 1005 H UCLA B10 ( 5- 7, 93.7) 27-11 1012 A USC B10 ( 6- 6, 95.1) 33-30 1026 A Wisconsin B10 ( 5- 7, 93.1) 28-13 1102 H Ohio St B10 (10- 2, 99.0) 13-20 1109 H Washington B10 ( 6- 6, 94.5) 35- 6 1116 A Purdue B10 ( 1-11, 88.9) 49-10 1123 A Minnesota B10 ( 7- 5, 95.2) 26-25 1130 H Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 91.5) 44- 7 1207 A Oregon B10 (13- 0, 99.9) 37-45
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
831 A We Virginia 34-12 22 3 1.53
907 H Bowl. Green 34-27 7 9 0.00
921 H Kent State 56- 0 56 17 0.00
928 H Illinois 21- 7 14 3 + 2.33
1005 H UCLA 27-11 16 5 0.10
1012 A USC 33-30 3 2 1.22
1026 A Wisconsin 28-13 15 4 1.23
1102 H Ohio St 13-20 -7 0 -- -4.64
1109 H Washington 35- 6 29 4 0.82
1116 A Purdue 49-10 39 8 0.00
1123 A Minnesota 26-25 1 2 -0.65
1130 H Maryland 44- 7 37 7 0.00
1207 A Oregon 37-45 -8 -3 -1.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1102 H Ohio St 13-20 -7 0 -- -4.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 928 H Illinois 21- 7 14 3 + 2.33 |
Penn St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| California | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Clemson | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Duke | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Florida St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Louisville | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Miami | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UNC | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| NC St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Penn St | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Penn St | |
| SMU | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Stanford | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Syracuse | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Virginia | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Va Tech | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Wake Forest | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Army | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Charlotte | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Ea Carolina | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Memphis | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Navy | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| No Texas | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Rice | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| So Florida | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Temple | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Tulane | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Tulsa | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UAB | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UTSA | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Arizona | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Arizona St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| BYU | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Baylor | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Cincinnati | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Colorado | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Houston | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Iowa St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Kansas | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kansas St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Oklahoma St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| TCU | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Texas Tech | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| UCF | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Utah | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| We Virginia | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Illinois | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Penn St | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) | Penn St | |
| Maryland | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Michigan | Penn St | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Penn St | |
| Michigan St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Penn St | |
| Minnesota | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Nebraska | Penn St | Penn St 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Northwestern | Penn St | Penn St 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Purdue | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Rutgers | Penn St | Penn St 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| UCLA | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| USC | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Washington | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Wisconsin | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Florida Intl | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Liberty | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| La Tech | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Middle Tenn | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| NM St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| SHouston St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UTEP | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| We Kentucky | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UMass | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Akron | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Penn St | |
| Ball St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Bowl. Green | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Buffalo | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Cen Michigan | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ea Michigan | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Kent State | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| MiamiOH | Penn St | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Penn St | |
| No Illinois | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Ohio | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Toledo | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| We Michigan | Penn St | Penn St 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Air Force | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Colorado St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Fresno St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Hawaii | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Nevada | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| New Mexico | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| San Diego St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| San Jose St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UNLV | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Utah St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Wyoming | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Oregon St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Wash St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Alabama | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Arkansas | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Auburn | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Florida | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| LSU | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Missouri | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Miss St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Oklahoma | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Ole Miss | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| So Carolina | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Tennessee | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Vanderbilt | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| App St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Arkansas State | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Coastal Car | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Georgia So | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Georgia St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| J Madison | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Louisiana | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Marshall | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Old Dominion | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| So Miss | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| So Alabama | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Texas State | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Troy | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| La-Monroe | Penn St | Penn St |
PowerWise = 126
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A We Virginia ( 6- 6, 93.4) 34-12 -6.53 11.72 0.91 0.93 11.76
0 H Bowl. Green ( 7- 5, 90.0) 34-27 -9.94 8.31 -0.91 0.93 6.90
0 H Kent State ( 0-12, 81.6) 56- 0 -18.26 1.00 -0.91 0.93 0.09
0 H Illinois ( 9- 3, 96.0) 21- 7 -3.93 14.33 -0.91 0.93 12.50
0 H UCLA ( 5- 7, 93.7) 27-11 -6.16 12.10 -0.91 0.93 10.42
0 A USC ( 6- 6, 95.1) 33-30 -4.84 13.42 0.91 0.93 13.33
0 A Wisconsin ( 5- 7, 93.1) 28-13 -6.83 11.42 0.91 0.93 11.48
0 H Ohio St (10- 2, 99.0) 13-20 -0.89 17.37 -0.91 0.93 -1.67
0 H Washington ( 6- 6, 94.5) 35- 6 -5.43 12.82 -0.91 0.93 11.10
0 A Purdue ( 1-11, 88.9) 49-10 -10.98 7.28 0.91 0.93 7.62
0 A Minnesota ( 7- 5, 95.2) 26-25 -4.72 13.54 0.91 0.93 13.45
0 H Maryland ( 4- 8, 91.5) 44- 7 -8.42 9.84 -0.91 0.93 8.32
0 A Oregon (13- 0, 99.9) 37-45 -0.00 18.26 0.91 0.93 -0.84
------
104.45
|
winning pts = 106.9662 losing points = -2.5140
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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